Biden vs Trump: Global Perspectives from Moscow, Beijing, and Delhi
As Americans gear up to elect their next president, the world watches with bated breath. US foreign policy, shaped by the actions of the White House, ripples across the globe, affecting various regions in myriad ways. This Thursday’s first debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump promises to highlight America’s influence abroad. The stakes are high, not just in Ukraine, Israel, and Gaza, but also in many other nations. Eight BBC foreign correspondents offer insights into how this election rematch is being perceived in their respective regions.
Russia: Eyes on Political Instability
Imagine being Vladimir Putin. Would you prefer Joe Biden, who’s labeled you “a killer” and vowed to support Ukraine? Or Donald Trump, who’s criticized US military aid to Kyiv and hinted at leniency towards Russia’s NATO aggressions? Despite Putin’s public endorsement of Biden for his predictability, Moscow likely sees a Trump presidency as a geopolitical win, albeit with caution. The Kremlin’s previous high hopes for Trump fizzled out, leading to a tempered optimism this time around. Moscow will be closely monitoring for any signs of post-election instability in the US, looking for opportunities to capitalize on political chaos.
China: Diverging Strategies on Taiwan
Both Biden and Trump are tough on China, especially concerning economic policies and tariffs. However, their strategies differ significantly when it comes to regional influence. Biden has strengthened alliances to counter Beijing’s assertiveness, while Trump focused on striking favorable deals, even threatening to pull US troops from South Korea. The starkest contrast is their stance on Taiwan. Biden has repeatedly pledged to defend Taiwan against Chinese aggression, whereas Trump has shown skepticism towards aiding Taiwan. Beijing, wary of both candidates, sees Trump as a potential source of regional instability but fears Biden’s alliance-building could spark a new Cold War.
Ukraine: High-Stakes Spectators
Ukraine’s fate is intricately tied to the US election, given the crucial military and financial support it receives from America. While the campaign’s nuances might seem distant to war-torn Kyiv, the election’s outcome is pivotal. Trump’s hints at ending aid and forcing peace deals worry Ukrainians, but there’s also caution about Biden’s ability to sustain support amidst Congressional hurdles. Despite the high stakes, Ukrainians remain spectators, accustomed to unpredictability in their ongoing conflict.
United Kingdom: Bracing for Uncertainty
UK policymakers view the US election with apprehension, fearing decisions that could directly impact the UK. Concerns range from Trump potentially undermining NATO and reigniting trade wars, to Biden’s potential increase in isolationism. There’s also anxiety over a contested election result leading to civil unrest in the US, which could diminish American global leadership and embolden autocrats. With the UK’s own election looming, the US presidential race adds another layer of uncertainty to an already volatile global landscape.
Israel: Divided Opinions
The US election holds significant implications for Israel. Biden, while supportive of Israel post-October attacks, faces criticism for his handling of the ongoing conflict. Many Jewish Israelis favor Trump, recalling his recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and his diplomatic successes. Palestinians, however, view both candidates with skepticism, fearing harsher policies under Trump. Despite Biden’s support for a two-state solution, his lack of a concrete plan leaves many questioning the future of peace efforts.
India: Consistent Relations Amidst Change
For India, the US election’s outcome is less about change and more about continuity. Both Biden and Trump view India as a critical counterbalance to China. Biden’s administration has maintained strong economic ties and diplomatic courtesies, while Trump’s tenure saw public displays of camaraderie with Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Regardless of who wins, India’s strategic importance ensures its position remains stable, with only the tone of bilateral relations potentially shifting.
Mexico: Memories of Provocative Rhetoric
Mexico’s recent presidential election saw Claudia Sheinbaum emerge victorious, marking a new chapter in its political landscape. Her administration will need to navigate relations with Washington carefully, distinguishing itself from its predecessor. Trump’s past derogatory remarks about Mexican immigrants still resonate, while Biden’s tenure has seen cooperative efforts despite occasional tensions. Mexicans watch the US election with mixed feelings, remembering the strains under Trump and the cautious collaboration under Biden.
Canada: Economic Ties and Trade Worries
Canada watches the US election with concern, particularly regarding trade relations. Trump’s presidency brought challenges but also a successful renegotiation of the North American trade deal. With the possibility of more trade upheaval, Canada’s political and business leaders are preparing for any outcome. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s “Team Canada” initiative aims to strengthen ties and advocate for Canada’s interests, ensuring the country is ready for whatever the future holds.
As the US gears up for this crucial election, the world remains keenly observant, aware that the decisions made in Washington will have far-reaching consequences across the globe.
